[Polyester filament welcomes "channeling sky monkey]
Release date:[2019/12/21] Is reading[243]次

Starting from December 12, the price of polyester filament began a new round of rising channels. On the 18th, polyester filament in a large plant in Jiangsu rose by 100-300 yuan / ton, FDY in a plant in Wuxi rose by 100-150 yuan / ton, and FDY in a plant in Wujiang rose by 100 yuan / ton.

As of December 18, within a week, all kinds of polyester filament products had increased to varying degrees, of which FDY had the largest increase, reaching 400 yuan / ton.

In recent days, Zhejiang Tiansheng FDY (600,000 tons / year) parking and maintenance, before the addition of Zhou Tongkun Hengsheng, Xinfengming and other manufacturers to stop and reduce the load, the situation of oversupply has improved slightly, polyester filament manufacturers go to warehouses. The inventory days of polyester filament enterprises are POY7.5 (-1.0) days, FDY 8.5 (-3.5) days and DTY 18.0 (-3.5) days.

At present, the per-ton profit of the polyester filament industry is POY-127 (-97) yuan / ton, FDY-210 (-64) yuan / ton and DTY 39 (-197) yuan / ton.

The price of polyester yarn has gone up. What will happen to the market?

The Spring Festival is gradually approaching. To ensure the smooth production after the festival, the demand for replenishment of raw materials exists before the festival. At present, polyester filaments exchange time for space and choose a price increase strategy in advance of device maintenance. At present, the overall purchasing mentality of the downstream is more contradictory. Downstream spinning companies also have some differences in their habit of purchasing later.

1. Occupation of funds

Since this year, weaving factories have begun to be cautious in terms of raw material procurement policies, and subject to the restrictions on the use of funds by the weaving credit sales model. Therefore, before the Spring Festival, it is necessary to consider the ability of textile companies' accounts receivable recovery progress to purchase polyester filament. Receivables recovery is weaker than in previous years, which may limit the strength of companies to replenish them.

2. Cost of textile enterprises

Since this year, the downstream profit situation has not been very optimistic. According to the current cash flow of grey cloths, the current rate of water jet loom machines is only 20-30 yuan / day. From the results of the visits, weaving enterprises ’rising performance of raw material prices It must be more resistant.

On the one hand, due to the high inventory of its own gray fabrics, weaving companies were very tight at the end of the year, the product homogenization was serious, and the profit of the fabrics could not go up. On the other hand, weaving bosses generally stated that they cannot see the market at the beginning of next year. This year's situation has caused many previous experiences to be unsuitable. It is difficult to judge whether raw materials will rise or fall in the future. Choose to wait and see.

A person in charge of a weaving company whose main business is Chun Yafang, with 50 looms, but whose inventory has reached 1 million meters, said that the current rise in polyester filament prices is entirely speculated by upstream polyester manufacturers, and the market is basically Not so good. If the price of polyester filaments continues to rise like this, they will have to leave early.

3. A very determined price

When polyester filaments “slightly lose”, they always want to follow up with PTA or crude oil and other futures, rather than choose to compromise the price. In the face of replenishment before and after the Spring Festival, the polyester factory is more likely to choose the right amount of maintenance during the Spring Festival instead of choosing a substantial price promotion. During the period, it will even frequently use price increases to drive waves of short-term transactions.

In summary, the polyester factory maintains cash transactions on the one hand and stabilizes prices on the other. If it stimulates a large number of stocks for the downstream before the Spring Festival, there is another way to use the market's "buy up but not buy down" mentality to create the current Even the strong market expectations after the Spring Festival, but the market has long been silent on the anticipated large-scale production of polyester dual raw materials, and it is difficult to reverse the public's psychological expectations. Therefore, it is expected that the pre-Chinese New Year industry players will still be inactive or not actively stocking polyester. Keep multi-frequency and small-batch procurement as the mainstay.

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